The Avoidable War: An Alternative Future for U.S.-China Relations

ASPI Initiative

Donald J. Trump and Xi Jinping at the G20 Summit

U.S. President Donald J. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at a bilateral meeting during the G20 Summit in Germany on July 8, 2017. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead / Flickr)

In recent years, China and the United States have begun drifting toward crisis, conflict, and even war. While there may be great forces of history steadily driving them in this direction, such a war is avoidable. A major conflict between the two biggest economies and military powers would be catastrophic for both, and for the rest of the world. Such a confrontation would also cripple the already fragile global order, similar to what took place in after the First World War—“the war to end all wars”—when the international order disappeared altogether.

The Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI) seeks an alternative future for the United States and China, and seeks to build it through intensive research and consultations with the national political, policy and business elites of both countries. This is a critical task, because in the absence of a framework for managing differences, the ongoing shift in the balance of global power will create major instability and challenges for both countries, the Asia Pacific, and beyond.


ASPI President Kevin Rudd says we are at the the very beginning of the deep reappraisal of Chinese long-term strategy towards the United States.
Visiting the U.S. Naval Academy, Kevin Rudd asks 10 significant questions of policy makers in this new era of strategic competition between the U.S. and China.
ASPI President Kevin Rudd looks at the challenge of how to build new rules around the U.S.-China relationship in this new era of strategic competition.
Kevin Rudd writes about Xi Jinping's vision for the future of global governance in Project Syndicate
Kevin Rudd delivered an address to the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore for The Significance of China's 2018 Central Foreign Policy Work Conference.
Kevin Rudd on the core Interests that shape China's behavior in the world.
Kevin Rudd's address at the Harvard University Asia Center's 13th Annual Tsai Lecture.
Kevin Rudd's op-ed in The New York Times on how the West should approach China now that Xi Jinping will be at the helm for the foreseeable future.
Kevin Rudd's speech to the cadets at West Point on Xi Jinping's vision for China.

ASPI Staff