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The Avoidable War: An Alternative Future for U.S.-China Relations

ASPI Initiative

Donald J. Trump and Xi Jinping at the G20 Summit

U.S. President Donald J. Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at a bilateral meeting during the G20 Summit in Germany on July 8, 2017. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead / Flickr)

In recent years, China and the United States have begun drifting toward crisis, conflict, and even war. While there may be great forces of history steadily driving them in this direction, such a war is avoidable. A major conflict between the two biggest economies and military powers would be catastrophic for both, and for the rest of the world. Such a confrontation would also cripple the already fragile global order, similar to what took place in after the First World War—“the war to end all wars”—when the international order disappeared altogether.

The Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI) seeks an alternative future for the United States and China, and seeks to build it through intensive research and consultations with the national political, policy and business elites of both countries. This is a critical task, because in the absence of a framework for managing differences, the ongoing shift in the balance of global power will create major instability and challenges for both countries, the Asia Pacific, and beyond.

Commentary

Xi jinping party congress
article

China Backslides on Economic Reform

Under Xi Jinping, Beijing hasn’t liberalized. It’s doubled down on politically directed state capitalism.
US and China G20 Delegations 2018
report

The Avoidable War: The Case for Managed Strategic Competition

A compendium of 2019 speeches by ASPI President Kevin Rudd on the need to manage U.S.-China competition.
Trump Xi

Former World Leaders: The Trade War Threatens the World’s Economy

Kevin Rudd joins nine other former heads of state to urge the U.S. and China to fully resolve their conflict.
Kevin Rudd Speech London Chatham House
speech

China's Political Economy into 2020

Kevin Rudd delivered an address at a Chatham House Conference on China's Economic Future.
KR Bloomberg
interview

U.S.-China Relationship in 'Deep Disrepair'

Kevin Rudd joins Bloomberg to discuss the broader implications of Trump and Xi's "trade truce."
KR CNBC
interview

Kevin Rudd: It's Possible to Strike a China Trade Deal in 2019

After the G-20 summit, a U.S.-China deal looks likely in 2019.
KR CNBC
interview

Xi Jinping Has an Economic Interest in Getting Trade Deal Done

Kevin Rudd on whether the anticipated Trump-Xi meeting at the G-20 Summit can resolve the trade war.
TrumpXi Talks
article

The U.S.-China Trade War and the Threat to the Global Economy

Trump and Xi may strike a trade deal at G-20 but a deeper decoupling has barely begun.
KR Lowy Institute
speech

The Trade War, Economic Decoupling, and Future Chinese Strategy Towards America

Kevin Rudd on China's strategic competition with the United States across trade, technology, and geopolitics.

Pagination

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ASPI Staff

  • bio

    The Honorable Kevin Rudd

    President
  • bio

    Jing Qian

    Senior Advisor to the President and Research Fellow

Featured Video

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Reports

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  • (Feng Li/Getty Images)
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    U.S.-China 21: The Future of U.S.-China Relations Under Xi Jinping

    In his report for the Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, ASPI President Kevin Rudd recommends a common strategic narrative to guide the U.S.-China relationship.
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