Negotiating with the Taliban - A Risky Strategy
Negotiating with the Taliban may sound like an intriguing idea – especially with every important state in the region apparently supportive of this strategy, but “this is fraught with danger and is a very risky proposition,” says Asia Society Bernard Schwartz Fellow Hassan Abbas.
“Clear communication about what is expected as an outcome of a deal is critical to the success of any arrangement. Afghani Taliban have repeatedly and categorically said that they would not negotiate unless U.S./NATO forces leave Afghanistan completely. On previous occasions, the U.S. has clearly maintained that the Taliban have to give up arms and militancy before they can be accommodated politically. The most important issue today is whether we can clearly differentiate hardcore and irreconcilable Taliban from those elements who are insurgents fighting for what they perceive as a liberation or freedom war against foreign occupation. There are many in Afghanistan -- especially in Pashtun-dominated areas -- who are under duress and have been manipulated by the Taliban and Al-Qaeda through fear and violence. All these groups will be required to be dealt with differently and no one formula or model may fit all. It is unclear whether those proposing negotiations with Taliban have developed a comprehensive strategy in this context.”
Hassan is based in New York. To arrange an interview, contact the Asia Society communications department at 212-327-9271 or [email protected].